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Who to Believe, Post-Truth
How is it that people can have deep and powerful insights that have absolutely no effect on their lives?
(This is regrettably common with psychedelic experiences.)
Why do we often feel at war with ourselves when trying to do something we ostensibly want to do?
(Washing the dishes, going for a run, waking up earlier, etc.)
And why, oh why, is it so f*cking hard to concentrate during meditation?
There’s an idea – a framework for understanding the psyche – that provides good answers to all of these questions and more. I’ll tell you about it, but first let me tell you how I came across – and more importantly, came to believe – this idea.
Sourcing trustworthy information in the 2020s is not easy. Post-truth became a meme in the mid-2010s, and COVID-19 has only accelerated the breakdown of our collective sensemaking. That breakdown of our collective sensemaking has also become a meme points to a sudden, expanded awareness of the intersubjective information-water we’ve all been swimming in.
“Where do I find trustworthy information?” is another way of asking “Who should I believe?” The traditional answer – the established, powerful, often-three-letter-acronymed institution (CDC, WHO, NYT, CNN, DNC, etc.) – no longer serves.
You can trust your friends, but you only have so many friends, and they don’t know everything. Plus, information overload. More information is created every day than you and everyone you know could sort through in your entire lifetimes. What to do?
Something I’ve found helpful is to triangulate the views of trustworthy seeming sources. I think we do this intuitively (“Three people have mentioned this idea to me now, I’m making a note to check it out”), but it can be helpful to make it explicit. Post-truth, a quick way to gauge the quality of an idea is to ask the question: Do trustworthy people believe in it?
An important distinction: by trustworthy here I don’t necessarily mean correct. I mean telling you what they believe to be true; not actively trying to deceive you. Whether they are right about what they believe is a different question.
How do you tell if someone is trustworthy? There’s no perfect formula, but we can suggest some heuristics, with examples. A person is more likely to be trustworthy if:
There are certainly more of these, and none is sufficient in and of itself, but they all point in the right direction.
Here’s an example of how this kind of thinking has been helpful to me. In 2016, some trustworthy-seeming people (Future Thinkers, Naval, Balaji S., Vinay Gupta) were talking positively about crypto. Triangulating their views (and the views of others, and some research) helped me catch the 2017 crypto bull run, with Bitcoin from around $600 all the way to $20,000. (I caught most of the crash, too, but the point still stands.)
In abstract terms, you have a network of nodes (sources of information) that seem trustworthy to some degree. Each node’s belief in or support for an idea is a data point in favour of that idea, weighted according to that node’s belief in/support for the idea and that node’s trustworthiness.
And this framework is how I came across, and came to believe in, an idea for understanding the psyche that is one of the most fruitful I’ve come across in years. It has great explanatory power, practical utility, and also intuitively makes sense.
I’ll tell you about it in the next newsletter.
See you then!
I’m not sure who’s behind this, but it’s one of the most comprehensive resources for integration I’ve come across. I’ve typically found that good integration advice is either scattered around online in not-always-easy-to-find places, or held in the minds of experienced psychedelic guides. It’s nice to see something so comprehensive that’s free to use and
This is very beautiful. I had the good fortune of seeing Rostropovich play live in Vancouver in 2003, when I was 10 years old and learning to play the cello. It was extremely inspiring. I recommend listening to this while not doing anything else. Credit to my mom for this recommendation 🙂
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